Nine reasons why recession remains unlikely in Australia

Please click the link below to view Shane Oliver's views on why recession is unlikely in Australia

Key points raised are : 

  • Australian growth is likely to remain weak over the next year.  Expect further monetary and fiscal stimulus.
  • However while the risks have gone up recession remains unlikely.
    • Tax cuts should help growth in the current half year
    • The threat from falling property prices has reduced
    • Infrastructure spending is booming
    • The low Australian dollar is helping growth
    • The drag from falling mining investment is over
    • The current account is in surplus
    • There is scope for extra fiscal stimulus
    • Population growth remains strong
    • Cyclical spending is low