Will house prices crash?

 

Please click here to view Shane Oliver's views on the Australian property market.

Key points raised are:

  • Predictions of an Australian house price crash create lots of interest but have been a dime a dozen over the lat 20 years.
  • However there is more to the surge in property prices than easy money with a supply shortfall being the main factor.
  • Absent much higher interest rates and or unemployment a house price crash in Australia looks unlikely.
  • The key to sustainably improving housing affordability is to boost supply, better align immigration to housing supply, reduce or delay public infrastructure spending, encourage decentralisation and tax reform.
  • A failure to boost affordability risks a further slide in home ownership and rising inquality.