Why Australia should be able to avoid a recession

 

Please click the link below to view Shane Oliver's views on why Australia should be able to avoid a recession.

Key points raised are:

  • The combination of cost of living pressures, sharp interest rate hikes and a global downturn point to a sharp slowing in the Australian economy next year.
  • However there are several reasons why Australia should be able to avoid a recession
    • the business investement outlook is solid
    • there is a large pipeline of homebuilding work
    • high energy prices boost national income
    • the Australian dollar will fall if the global economy gets too weak
    • immigration is rebounding
    • inflation may be less of a problem in Australia and
    • the RBA has moved into the more cautious lane on rate hikes