Please click the link below to view Shane Oliver's views on why Australia should be able to avoid a recession.
Key points raised are:
- The combination of cost of living pressures, sharp interest rate hikes and a global downturn point to a sharp slowing in the Australian economy next year.
- However there are several reasons why Australia should be able to avoid a recession
- the business investement outlook is solid
- there is a large pipeline of homebuilding work
- high energy prices boost national income
- the Australian dollar will fall if the global economy gets too weak
- immigration is rebounding
- inflation may be less of a problem in Australia and
- the RBA has moved into the more cautious lane on rate hikes