Correction time for shares?

Please click the link below to view Shane Oliver's views on the current state of investment markets, particularly the recent volatility in the US.

Key points raised are:

  • The US share market is long overdue a decent correction.  This now appears to be unfolding and may have further to go as higher inflation, a slightly more aggressive US Fed and higher bond yields are factored in.
  • This will impact most share markets including Australian shares.
  • However, in the absence of an aggressive 1994 style back-up in bond yields or a US recession - neither of which we expect - the pull back in shares should be limited in depth and duration to a correction and shares should have positive returns this year as a whole.
  • It's likely to be a more volatile year than last year.