Review of 2014, Outlook for 2015

Please click the link below to view Shane Oliver's review of 2014 and outlook for 2015.

Key points are ;

 

  • 2014 has been a positive but somewhat constrained year for investors as the global economy remained in a cyclical sweet spot despite various threats, but Australian shares under-performed.
  • 2015 is likely to see okay but uneven global growth, low inflation and easy monetary conditions.  While the US is likely to start gradually raising rates, other countries including Australia are likely to ease monetary policy.
  • Against this backdrop the bull market in shares and most growth assets is likely to continue.  However, with shares dependent on rising earnings, volatility is likely to be a bit higher and returns okay but constrained.
  • The main things to keep an eye on are ; when/if the Fed starts to raise rates, Europe, the Chinese property slump, and growth outside of mining in Australia.